So says this study by Bourne and Subramaniam (Cato, Sep. 2021). Here are four money quotes.
- it is theoretically possible that the impact of a minimum wage hike on jobs might take a good time to take effect, with an increase in hourly labor costs dampening future job creation for affected groups rather than leading to direct layoffs.
- the fact that a small minimum wage hike has small employment effects doesn’t mean that much larger future hikes would too.
- employment effects of relatively large minimum wage increases accumulate gradually over time
- larger minimum wage hikes have negative employment consequences for those most affected—in this case the young and less-educated.
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